Storm Prediction Center - Convective Outlooks
| Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook. A depicted severe weather area indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point. |
| D4 | Fri, Feb 06, 2026 - Sat, Feb 07, 2026 |
D7 | Mon, Feb 09, 2026 - Tue, Feb 10, 2026 |
| D5 | Sat, Feb 07, 2026 - Sun, Feb 08, 2026 |
D8 | Tue, Feb 10, 2026 - Wed, Feb 11, 2026 |
| D6 | Sun, Feb 08, 2026 - Mon, Feb 09, 2026 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
- 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
- 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
- 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
|
| POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of
organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire
period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe
storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period). |
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
