Storm Prediction Center - Convective Outlooks
|Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook. A depicted severe weather area indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point.
|D4||Thu, Jan 23, 2020 - Fri, Jan 24, 2020
||D7||Sun, Jan 26, 2020 - Mon, Jan 27, 2020
|D5||Fri, Jan 24, 2020 - Sat, Jan 25, 2020
||D8||Mon, Jan 27, 2020 - Tue, Jan 28, 2020
|D6||Sat, Jan 25, 2020 - Sun, Jan 26, 2020
||(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
|PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
- 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
- 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
- 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
|POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of
organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire
period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe
storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center